Twitter Update – A Cynical Analysis
Last week, we wrote that we thought the probability of Elon Musk completing his acquisition of Twitter (ticker: TWTR) for the agreed $54.20 per share price was remote, and argued that Twitter management’s unwillingness to provide backup for their claim that fake accounts were less than 5% was an indication that this was a real … Read more
Rare Guest Post – What Are The Dangers And Rewards Of Doubling Down On Your Investments?
I’ve talked investment ideas on occasion with Gary Mishuris of Silver Ring Value Partners for many years. He’s one of the most disciplined investors I know with a very clear idea of what makes a good stock idea. Gary is also one of the best at explaining complicated investment ideas in an uncomplicated way. With … Read more
More Misleading Headlines on the Value of the Dollar
Two weeks ago, we wrote about a Wall Street Journal piece titled “Surging Dollar Raises Possibility of Parity With Euro” which explained that the dollar was strengthening against the Euro. Today, the paper printed a new article titled “Dollar’s Climb Stalls Amid Mixed Economic Signals” explaining “The WSJ Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against … Read more
“Hurricane” Dimon is Late and Without a Plan
Last week, JP Morgan Chase CEO, Jamie Dimon, said that the economy is “sunny” at the moment but predicted there’s a storm coming. He just doesn’t know if it will be a big storm or a small one. He advised that investors “brace themselves” for the coming hurricane while noting he didn’t know if it … Read more
The Depth Report Elon Musk is the Least of Twitter’s Problems
Overview: My first job on the “buy side” was in risk arbitrage. That’s a fancy name for investing based primarily on capturing the difference between the current price of a stock, and the value shareholders are due to receive in a merger or acquisition. At that time, there were a lot of announced deals, a … Read more
Losses on the Fed Portfolio – Now They Tell Us
We’ve been critical of the Federal Reserve’s zero interest rate policy which has gone on far too long combined with its $9 trillion balance sheet so many times that it’s not worth putting links here. A quick check of the DKI blog will show it’s been a topic of interest. Today, the Wall Street Journal … Read more
Dollar Euro Parity vs Food and Gasoline
Last week, we put out a piece explaining that foreign exchange traders see the US dollar as being strong and that American consumers are experiencing higher prices (meaning a weaker dollar). Today, the Wall Street Journal published a piece titled “Surging Dollar Raises Possibility of Parity With Euro” explaining that the dollar is strengthening against … Read more