All year, the market has been trading off of small differences between macro economic statistics and expectations. One theme we’ve emphasized in 2022 is that government statistics do not represent reality; but rather, are generated by government employees to advance a specific narrative. This happens under both Republican and Democratic administrations as no one wants … Read more
Introduction: In Part I and Part II, we covered several aspects of Inflation/CPI. It’s the single most important financial issue for 2022 so we explored the topic in depth. Cutting to the end, a combination of higher interest rates, comparisons with last year’s high CPI, and falling real estate and auto prices will ensure the … Read more
We told you last night that Japan was throwing in the towel on its (approximately) zero interest rates and was raising rates to defend the yen. I read today that earlier this month, Morgan Stanley had predicted that Japan would hold the line on its debt through all of 2023. While it’s hard to make … Read more
The Bank of Japan just changed its policy on interest rates. The institution is using careful language, but we’re going to shortcut it for you here. They’re raising interest rates in order to defend the yen. The BoJ had previously held the line on negative/zero interest rates which was hurting the value of the yen, … Read more
Hi All, First, thank you for being part of Deep Knowledge Investing. I’ve loved investing since I was in college, and getting to think about it, write about it, and help all of you make money is both a pleasure and a privilege. Please expect posting to slow a bit for the next couple of … Read more
