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Weekly Points – February 16th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Opposite Day Issue

This week, economic data decided to pull a George Costanza and do the opposite of everything it has been doing. DKI has highlighted the trend of inconsistent data in recent months, and this week, many of those inconsistent trends reversed. Confusing? Don’t worry, we’ll explain. We also have some excellent fundamental news from Shockwave Medical … Read more

Weekly Points – February 9th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Silly People Saying Silly Things Issue

Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen speaking in public typically leads to her accidentally saying things out loud that confirm the fears of her critics. At the same time, the Bitcoin bears who celebrated a small decrease in the dollar price of Bitcoin last month have gone into hibernation causing quiet in my Twitter/X feed. I believe … Read more

Weekly Points – February 2nd, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Surprise Higher for Longer Issue

The Federal Reserve surprised the market by leaving the fed funds rate unchanged and indicating its not inclined to lower at the next meeting in March. The market was disappointed, but a better-than-expected manufacturing index with higher-than-expected pricing plus a seemingly hot labor market support the Fed’s decision. There was huge growth in jobs, but … Read more

Weekly Points – January 26th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Super-Duper Inconsistent Data Issue

Every week in January, we’ve been pointing out the inconsistencies we see in macro-economic data. The trend becomes even more pronounced this week with contradictory insight on the economy being provided by the GDP report, the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, and the purchasing manager’s index. The results are so confusing that commentary by S&P Global … Read more

Weekly Points – January 19th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The More Inconsistent Data Issue

Like last week, we’re seeing more inconsistent data. The retail sales number indicates a strong economy and a “higher for longer” Federal Reserve. The new manufacturing data indicates a weakening economy and a “pivot now” Fed. The most likely result is the Fed doing nothing for now. Taiwan Semiconductor ($TSM) guidance moves the market. And … Read more

5 Things to Know – Video Version – The More Inconsistent Data Issue

Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing and Robb Fahrion of Flying V Group discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week: The More Inconsistent Data Issue This week, we’ll address the following topics: – Retail sales better than expected. Does this mean “higher for longer”? – Empire State Manufacturing Index is a disaster. … Read more

Weekly Points – January 12th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Bitcoin ETF Issue

After years of dragging its feet and losing an important Court case, the SEC finally approved 11 Bitcoin ETFs. Along the way, it managed to accidentally pre-announce the approvals three different ways, then withdrew all of them. Finally, the head of the SEC made it clear he disagreed with the decision of his own agency … Read more

Weekly Points – December 22nd, 2023 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Panic Issue

GDP was revised down, but is still at a high level due largely to massive Congressional overspending. FedEx provides a warning about future demand which is then confirmed by November’s PCE data. The Philly Fed shows a massive decline in new orders. Even retail powerhouse, Nike ($NKE) had a bad quarter and gave disappointing forward … Read more

Weekly Points – December 15th, 2023 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Pivot Issue

For two years, Wall Street pundits and asset gatherers have been screaming for the Fed to pivot to lower interest rates. Unsurprisingly, they make more money when asset prices are high. They were doing this even as the CPI was approaching double digits and when real inflation was approaching 20%. This week, Fed Chairman, Jerome … Read more

Weekly Points – December 8th, 2023 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Smart People Doing Smart Things Issue

Ok – kind of a quirky title, but a lot of smart people were saying smart things in public this week. Peter Schiff made an excellent point in favor of property rights including for Bitcoin which he hates. Moody’s is late, but correct on a potential China downgrade. Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) took advantage of … Read more

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