I Think They’re Aiming at China

I’m getting a lot of questions and seeing a lot of discussion about why President Trump is about to enact 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada early next week. Government officials from both countries say that at this point, they aren’t completely sure what they’d need to do to be in compliance with the wishes … Read more

Tariffs – A European View

Introduction: I’d like to thank DKI subscribers for their thoughtful response to last week’s article on the potential Trump Tariffs. I got a lot of nuanced opinions along the lines of “I mostly agree with you, but I see this issue differently”. That’s fantastic. Thanks to those of you who chose to share your thoughts … Read more

Watch the 10-Year Treasury

One issue I’ve spent a lot of time discussing with people over the past few months is the recent increase in bond yields. In mid-September, the 10-year Treasury was yielding 3.61%. Despite (or because of) 100bp of Fed rate cuts, the yield on that same security is now up to 4.67%. Some market observers are … Read more

Portfolio Management and Risk Control

I’m writing this from Bangkok, Thailand where for the first time in all my travels, I’ve gotten sick. Other than the occasional case of travelers’ diarrhea, my friends have laughed and marveled at the fact that I would be out in crowds, on packed subway trains, in sold-out soccer stadiums, and Peruvian salsa clubs and … Read more

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