Let’s go through why the market indexes have been down during part of the past couple of days and why some DKI positions aren’t currently performing like they’re “supposed” to perform. Right now, everything relates to the bond market. After years of interest rate suppression caused by the Federal Reserve and assisted by the US … Read more
Next Wednesday, September 30th, 2026 at 12pm, I’ll be speaking at the Manhattan Alternative Investment Network. Here’s the agenda. Is Bitcoin a currency? Join the Manhattan Alternative Investment Network for a virtual conversation where Gary Brode, managing partner at Deep Knowledge Investing, will discuss whether Bitcoin should be considered a currency, and the implications that … Read more
I just arrived in Montevideo, Uruguay. After that, I’ll have a week in Buenos Aires, a week in Florence, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel … Read more
Forward: Most DKI interns arrive with a clear understanding of macroeconomics and a justified suspicion of the failing fiat system. Even in that exceptional group, Alex Petrou stood apart. He was an early Bitcoiner and his pointed, polite, and reasonable questions of officials from the Bank of England have left them uncomfortable and unable to … Read more
I’ll be in Suchitoto, El Salvador for the next week followed by a few days in San Salvador and a longer trip to Montevideo, Uruguay. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to … Read more
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh, spoke at Jackson Hole. He reiterated a commitment to the 2% inflation target and noted that inflation isn’t under control. Most importantly, he acknowledged that the current policy isn’t restrictive. His predecessor, Jerome Powell, used to comment often that he thought Fed policy was restrictive. Most saw the … Read more
It’s just past 1pm in New York as I write this. $BRR up 10.2% Gold up 3.4% Bitcoin up 5.7% Silver up 3.4% 10-Year Treasury yield down 3bp (.03%) 30-Year Treasury yield down 7bp (.07%) That’s a lot of volatility in assets that typically aren’t very volatile. It’s also a lot of volatility for $BRR … Read more
The CPI rose again and cracked 4%. Energy is still expensive, but you already knew that. The big issue is Powell never got inflation under control. People panicked that Warsh would cut. He can’t and at this point, there’s nothing the Fed can do (something I’ve been saying for the past two years). Bitcoin has … Read more
Bitcoin has a volatile price history. An article on Portfolio Lab says there have been 16 drawdowns of 20% or more in the past 16 years. There have been four crashes of 75% or more in the past 15 years plus another three of around 50% in that time-frame. That amounts to one 20% drawdown … Read more
