Fed Hikes By 25bp – Doesn’t Matter

As expected, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight rate by 25bp (.25%). I think this was both the right move and irrelevant. Others disagree. – The Fed cited high inflation, high spending, high employment, and solid economic growth. – The dot plot shows 2 Governors who expect to keep the current fed funds rate through … Read more

August CPI is 3.4%

CPI of 3.4% was in line with expectations and consistent with last month’s 3.4%. The monthly change was 0.4% driven by fuel and shelter. The monthly increase annualizes to 4.9%.   Core CPI of 2.4% was also in line with estimates and slightly below last month’s 2.5%. The monthly change of 0.3% was above estimates … Read more

Volatility Doesn’t Matter and Private Investments Aren’t Low Vol

Introduction: Decades ago, I took a finance class at the University of Michigan and vividly remember when the professor told us that the proper measure of risk is volatility. While I didn’t have the knowledge at the time to challenge the professor, I instinctively and immediately thought that this was incorrect. The only circumstance where … Read more

Besent Looks to Japan

It’s just past 1pm in New York as I write this. $BRR up 10.2% Gold up 3.4% Bitcoin up 5.7% Silver up 3.4% 10-Year Treasury yield down 3bp (.03%) 30-Year Treasury yield down 7bp (.07%) That’s a lot of volatility in assets that typically aren’t very volatile. It’s also a lot of volatility for $BRR … Read more

July CPI is 3.4%

CPI of 3.4% was in line with expectations and a small decrease vs last month’s 3.5%. The monthly change was 0.1% and as usual, was driven by shelter which accounted for two-thirds of the rise. Core CPI of 2.5% was also in line with estimates and slightly below last month’s 2.6%. The monthly change of … Read more

5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Yentervention Issue

I’ll be in the Lake Atitlan, Guatemala are for the next two weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. DKI also added a … Read more

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