#federalreserve
CPI Update
I’m currently on a train which is why today’s CPI report is late. I also think the previous 9-10 page commentary was helpful when I started writing it every month, but is no longer serving us well. The CPI report does matter, but it’s not driving markets like it did in ’22, ’23, and ’24. … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Intel Crushes the Quarter Issue
It was a busy news week so we’re going with 6 Things this edition. Intel reports a fantastic quarter sending the stock up more than 20% in the aftermarket. DKI subscribers earn 130% in five months. Sysco is acquiring Jetro for $29B. The world’s largest food distributor will now have physical locations. Texas Pacific Land … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Services Inflation was Zero Issue
The PPI came in well below expectations. Energy prices were up as expected, but services pricing was flat. That’s welcome, but the US Congress still intends to debase the dollar into oblivion. Amazon is going to take on Elon Musk and SpaceX’s Starlink by acquiring Globalstar. Apple will have to change suppliers for its satellite … Read more
CPI Bullet Points
As noted earlier, there won’t be a long 10 page CPI analysis this month. Your bullet points: – CPI of 3.3% was below the 3.4% expected and far above last month’s 2.4%. – Core CPI of 2.6% was below the 2.7% expected and above last month’s 2.5%. – All items CPI was up 0.9% m/m … Read more
CPI Report Will be Delayed
Hi All, Due to travel plans and this month’s CPI report being moved to Friday, I will not be in a position to do the full CPI report writeup today. I’ll be able to read the report and relay to you anything different from expectations or that affects the portfolio, but the usual 10 page … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Dealing with our Feelings Issue
Quick announcement: I’ll be in Bangkok, Thailand for the next 1 – 2 weeks before returning to New York briefly. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Mines in the Strait Issue
Is the Strait of Hormuz closed? There have been rumors of ships on fire and Iranian success in adding mines. Some of these rumors were lies and later became true, but as long as captains and ship owners think there’s danger, then the Strait is effectively closed. We saw intra-day oil price moves of 20% … Read more