I’m in Buenos Aires this week followed by a few days in Florence, Italy, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately … Read more
Let’s go through why the market indexes have been down during part of the past couple of days and why some DKI positions aren’t currently performing like they’re “supposed” to perform. Right now, everything relates to the bond market. After years of interest rate suppression caused by the Federal Reserve and assisted by the US … Read more
I’m heading to Buenos Aires this week followed by a few days in Florence, Italy, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out … Read more
I’m currently in Florida, Uruguay and heading back to Montevideo soon. After that, I’ll have a week in Buenos Aires, a week in Florence, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile … Read more
I just arrived in Montevideo, Uruguay. After that, I’ll have a week in Buenos Aires, a week in Florence, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel … Read more
As expected, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight rate by 25bp (.25%). I think this was both the right move and irrelevant. Others disagree. – The Fed cited high inflation, high spending, high employment, and solid economic growth. – The dot plot shows 2 Governors who expect to keep the current fed funds rate through … Read more
I’m in San Salvador for a few days followed by a longer trip to Montevideo, Uruguay. After that, I’ll have a week in Buenos Aires, a week in Florence, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you … Read more
CPI of 3.4% was in line with expectations and consistent with last month’s 3.4%. The monthly change was 0.4% driven by fuel and shelter. The monthly increase annualizes to 4.9%. Core CPI of 2.4% was also in line with estimates and slightly below last month’s 2.5%. The monthly change of 0.3% was above estimates … Read more
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh, spoke at Jackson Hole. He reiterated a commitment to the 2% inflation target and noted that inflation isn’t under control. Most importantly, he acknowledged that the current policy isn’t restrictive. His predecessor, Jerome Powell, used to comment often that he thought Fed policy was restrictive. Most saw the … Read more
