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October CPI is 2.6%

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Overview: Today, we got the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.6% for the last year and 0.2% for the month. That’s above last month’s 2.4% and in-line with expectations. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was up 3.3% vs last year and up 0.3% from last … Read more

September CPI is 2.4%

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Overview: Today, we got the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.4% for the last year and 0.2% for the month. That’s slightly below last month’s 2.5% and above expectations by 0.1%. The 0.2% monthly increase was above the 0.1% expected. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy … Read more

The Fed Pivot is Here

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Overview: The Federal Reserve completed its September meeting and decided to cut the fed funds rate by 50bp (.5%). Significant items:   The market knew the Fed would pivot and cut at this meeting. There was substantial debate regarding the size of the cut. I had expected 25bp (.25%). The doves in the crowd calling … Read more

August CPI is 2.5%

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Overview: Today, we got the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.5% for the last year and 0.3% for the month. That’s below last month’s 2.9% and consistent with expectations. The 0.3% monthly increase was above the 0.2% expected, and a bigger increase than last month’s 0.2%. The Core … Read more

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