Federal Reserve Cuts by 25bp
The Federal Reserve just completed its final meeting of the year and as expected, cut the fed funds rate by 25bp (.25%) to 4.25% – 4.50%. This completes the last cut of the year with a total of 100bp (1%) of cuts for 2024. The release commented on elevated inflation, expanding economic activity, and an … Read more
Weekly Points – December 13th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Fed Does Not Have Inflation Under Control Issue
Both the CPI and the PPI rose from the prior month (again) as DKI predicted. Yet, the Fed is about to cut rates for the third time this year. Just a reminder that we can make money even from bad policy, so make sure your portfolio is prepared for more inflation. The European Central Bank … Read more
November CPI Rises to 2.7%
Overview: Today, we got the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.7% for the last year and 0.3% for the month (annualizes to 3.7%). That’s above last month’s 2.6% and above the prior month’s 2.4%. It was in-line with expectations. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was … Read more
Weekly Points – December 5th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Bitcoin to $100k Issue
The long-awaited moment came late last week when Bitcoin crossed $100k. Being a volatile asset, it’s already crossed that level multiple times in the few days since giving anyone who missed the first crossing ample opportunity to celebrate. Despite being wrong by 100x (10,000%!!!), Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff comes up with a novel excuse for why … Read more
Quantum Computing and Bitcoin
Every few months, I see warnings that quantum computing is about to become a reality and that it will enable code breakers to solve password and encryption keys in minutes that previously would have taken millions or billions of years. This is a potential threat to Bitcoin, but somehow, people tend to focus only on … Read more
Weekly Points – November 29th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Consumers Are Revolting Issue
This week presents more evidence that a weak private market economy and inflation are taking an increased toll on the American consumer. Luxury sales are falling with consumers seeking out used and discounted items. While companies like $MSFT, $GOOG, and $AMZN buy more $NVDA chips to power AI datacenters, consumers balk at buying AI-powered electronics … Read more