Inflation
Lies – It’s All Lies
This post originally appeared on February 13, 2023 On Friday, after the close, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revised the December CPI number. People hoping for a Federal Reserve “pivot” to lower interest rates have been focused on the month to month CPI to get a sense of any short-term change in the direction … Read more
Running on Empty: The Book Now Available
Alex Macris wrote an incredible four part series on the history of the petrodollar which included some prescient projections regarding the future of the US dollar. I featured his work on this blog, and then Alex invited me to write Part V explaining what you could do to protect yourself from coming problems. Running on … Read more
Government Statistics Are Lies
All year, the market has been trading off of small differences between macro economic statistics and expectations. One theme we’ve emphasized in 2022 is that government statistics do not represent reality; but rather, are generated by government employees to advance a specific narrative. This happens under both Republican and Democratic administrations as no one wants … Read more