5 Things to Know – Video Version – The Disinflation / Deflation Issue
Robb Fahrion and I discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Disinflation / Deflation Issue. Let me know what you think about the format.
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5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Close the * Door Issue
The Close the * Door Issue: We saw the most entertaining press conference by a Federal Reserve Chairman in decades. Jerome Powell “surprised” Wall Street by saying exactly the same thing he’s been saying for almost two years, then got caught on a hot mike wanting to shut the door on badly-behaved protesters. A Treasury … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – November 3rd, 2023
The More Problems in Sovereign Debt Issue We’re looking at massive worldwide sovereign debt problems. The Bank of Japan decided to stop defending the 1% rate ceiling on its 10-year bond to stop further weakness in the yen. Not to be outdone, the US Treasury announces plans for trillions of dollars of new bond auctions. … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 27th, 2023
The Non-Correlated Issue The stock market is falling with the S&P 500 now down more than 10% from its 2023 high. Investors are starting to realize that “higher for longer” now includes inflation and government spending. Bond yields are rising despite the Fed signaling they’re done hiking for now. GDP is high, but misleading. Investors … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 20th, 2023
The Bond Vigilantes Issue Fed Chairman, Powell, implied the Fed was done raising the fed funds rate for now partly because longer-term yields were rising. Excessive Congressional spending is now driving inflation and higher Treasury yields instead of actions by the Federal Reserve. Politicians in Argentina refuse to learn the lesson of how modern monetary … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 13th, 2023
The Chutzpah Issue Chutzpah is a Yiddish word that loosely translates to a combination of gall, obnoxious assumptions, and courage. There’s an old saying that the definition of chutzpah is killing your parents and begging the judge for leniency because you’re an orphan. I also like the way Futurama “explained” it. In this week’s 5 … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 6th, 2023
The Things That Aren’t an Issue Issue The market is deep into over-reacting to surface analysis mode. Stock prices are responding to news no one will remember in 5 days or to data that’s going to be revised out of meaning next month. In this special issue of the 5 Things, we’re going to focus … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – September 29th, 2023
The Shutdown Isn’t an Issue Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Is the coming government shutdown a real problem or just theater? Counter-intuitive inflation: Is there anything the Federal Reserve can do? New home sales plummeting – from already low levels! Smart Bitcoiner takes aim at sovereign debt. … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – September 22nd, 2023
The Higher for Longer Again Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Was this the most hawkish “pause” ever by Jerome Powell? Will reduced Russian refining capacity cause the price of oil to rise even more? Will rising energy prices continue to crush disinflation? Can rate hikes produce … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – September 15th, 2023
The Un-Disinflation Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: With the CPI rising again, is disinflation dead for now? With the PPI above expectations, is disinflation dead for now? Is the Fed responsible for our “terrible” economy? Have they overtightened? Should the new ARM IPO price ABOVE $NVDA? Powell … Read more
