Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing and Robb Fahrion of Flying V Group discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week: The Panic Issue This week, we’ll address the following topics: – 3Q GDP revised down. Should we panic? – FedEx ($FDX) lowers guidance. Should we panic? – Philly Fed announces a huge … Read more
GDP was revised down, but is still at a high level due largely to massive Congressional overspending. FedEx provides a warning about future demand which is then confirmed by November’s PCE data. The Philly Fed shows a massive decline in new orders. Even retail powerhouse, Nike ($NKE) had a bad quarter and gave disappointing forward … Read more
For two years, Wall Street pundits and asset gatherers have been screaming for the Fed to pivot to lower interest rates. Unsurprisingly, they make more money when asset prices are high. They were doing this even as the CPI was approaching double digits and when real inflation was approaching 20%. This week, Fed Chairman, Jerome … Read more
Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing and Robb Fahrion of Flying V Group discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week: The Pivot Issue This week, we’ll address the following topics: – The Powell pivot. This week he delivered a different message. It’s different this time? Yes, it is. – The CPI: Still … Read more
Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing and Robb Fahrion of Flying V Group discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week: The Smart People Doing Smart Things Issue This week, we’ll address the following topics: – New payroll and jobs data is good, bad, mixed, and other. – Moody’s warns on China. – … Read more
Ok – kind of a quirky title, but a lot of smart people were saying smart things in public this week. Peter Schiff made an excellent point in favor of property rights including for Bitcoin which he hates. Moody’s is late, but correct on a potential China downgrade. Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) took advantage of … Read more
Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing and Robb Fahrion of Flying V Group discuss the 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week: The Government and Consumer Big Spending Issue This week, we’ll address the following topics: – Holiday sales up big. Consumer rejects recession forecasts. – Market pundits have been predicting a coming recession … Read more
It was a big week for spending. The consumer bought huge amounts of holiday gifts. (For my fellow Michiganders, the consumer did get much on sale because they require big savings.) The government bought a big positive revised GDP print. And Sheldon Adelson’s widow, Miriam, bought most of a basketball team. If you don’t want … Read more
While Americans are focused on our own coming (and just passed) elections, Argentina had a monumental event. Using national ID and paper ballots, they were able to get votes counted the same night and found that a small-government capitalist in favor of sound money had won a huge and shocking victory. Here in the US, … Read more
The Disinflation/Deflation Issue We got lots of macro news this week featuring lower levels of inflation (disinflation) and in some cases, lower prices (deflation). Long-term, DKI continues to believe that excessive Congressional spending and the ensuing currency creation (dollar printing) will lead to long-term inflation and long-term higher interest rates. For now, there is increasing … Read more
