I’m heading to Buenos Aires this week followed by a few days in Florence, Italy, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out … Read more
I’m in San Salvador for a few days followed by a longer trip to Montevideo, Uruguay. After that, I’ll have a week in Buenos Aires, a week in Florence, and will spend November in Japan. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone in those locations you … Read more
I’ll be in Suchitoto, El Salvador for the next week followed by a few days in San Salvador and a longer trip to Montevideo, Uruguay. I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to … Read more
I’m still in Antigua, Guatemala where the weather is beautiful and I was woken up at 1am by the second earthquake in two weeks here. If one of you has upset a volcano, please apologize. The Federal Reserve kept the fed funds rate unchanged. Many expressed concern regarding the three dissenters who wanted a 25bp … Read more
This week, The Epoch Times reported that DeepSeek paused a fundraising round due to comments made by its Founder, Liang Wenfeng, at a conference. These comments focused on the superiority of “noncompliant cards” and DeepSeek’s ability to obtain them. While Nvidia wasn’t named, it’s clear he was commenting on his ability to access Nvidia GPUs … Read more
The Fed completed its first Warsh-led meeting and promptly spooked the market with a hawkish dot plot. I think that doesn’t matter as inflation is being driven by Congress. Warsh is declining to provide guidance which I view as a positive. All the chatter wasn’t getting us better results and the Fed tends to be … Read more
The CPI rose again and cracked 4%. Energy is still expensive, but you already knew that. The big issue is Powell never got inflation under control. People panicked that Warsh would cut. He can’t and at this point, there’s nothing the Fed can do (something I’ve been saying for the past two years). Bitcoin has … Read more
Nvidia startles the CPU designers with plans to start selling Windows PCs with Spark CPUs and RTX GPUs. They’re aimed at high-end content creators and AI users. There may be some compatibility issues with the ARM-based processors, but it’s a positive to see more AI computing pushed to personal devices with fewer privacy issues. Uber … Read more
Kevin Warsh takes the big chair with no room to cut. The stock market yawns and I point out for the nth time that Fed rate cuts don’t lead to lower borrowing rates. The yield on the Japanese Government 30 year is up by even more leading to a reduced incentive for the carry trade. … Read more
