The Depth Report – Las Vegas Sands (LVS) – Update

Overview: On April 27, 2020, we published a piece on Las Vegas Sands.The stock was at $43 and we recommended buying it. On June 10th, we sold the position at $52. The stock had moved over 20% in under a month and a half, and we were concerned about an extension of the coronavirus lock-downs. … Read more

Las Vegas Sands (LVS)

Overview: On February 24, 2020, we published Net Short explaining that due to concerns about the coronavirus, we had gone short against the market. Over the next 3 weeks, we wrote 3 additional pieces (here, here and here) reiterating and amplifying our bearish position. During that period, the market fell 29%. Following that, the Federal … Read more

The Depth Report – Anthem and the Double Black Swan

Overview: During the first few weeks in February, we had an interesting debate with a friend on the topic of Anthem, Inc. (ticker: ANTM), the giant health insurance company. Our friend does high-quality research, and is a great stock-picker. We’ve debated stocks for years, and while we usually come to a resolution, we were unable … Read more

The Depth Report-Carnival Says 40% Off-Is Cruise Pricing Sinking?

On November 1st, 2019, Princess Cruises, which is owned by Carnival Corporation & Plc (ticker: CCL) announced a 55th anniversary sale which included onboard spending money, room upgrades, a wine & dine package, and airfare credits for specific sailings. There’s nothing unusual about this. Like all leisure, gaming, and hotel companies, cruise lines regularly introduce … Read more

Royal Caribbean (RCL) – Long – Writeup

The Depth Report Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Overview: Royal Caribbean owns and operates cruise ships under several brands including Royal Caribbean, Celebrity, and Silver Seas. We first started looking at the cruise lines around 2 years ago because we saw the industry was undergoing a transition. Over the last 2 decades, cruise ship capacity … Read more

Victoria’s Dirty Little Secret: You’re Not Paying for Quality

One of the advantages of writing for a public audience is that readers and other investors who follow the companies and industries we’ve written about, start to send their own information. We recently posted a short thesis on L Brands on SumZero and followed-up with a LinkedIn article discussing the risk in the company dividend. … Read more

Bras, Bralettes, Barron’s, and a Big Dividend Problem

Last week, we published a piece on SumZero recommending a short position in L Brands (LB), the company that owns Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works. The key point is that there is a fashion trend away from the complicated underwire bras sold by Victoria’s Secret for $50 – $60, and towards more casual … Read more

Short Case on L Brands – Published March 2017

L Brands (LB) Overview: L Brands (ticker LB) is the owner and operator of Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works. Other businesses account for less than 5% of revenue and no operating profit so will not be addressed here. Victoria’s Secret is now about 60% of the $13B US lingerie industry. Bath & Body … Read more

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