Running on Empty: The Book Now Available

Alex Macris wrote an incredible four part series on the history of the petrodollar which included some prescient projections regarding the future of the US dollar.  I featured his work on this blog, and then Alex invited me to write Part V explaining what you could do to protect yourself from coming problems.  Running on … Read more

Not Your Bitcoin Keys – Not Your Coins – What to Do

A couple of months ago, I posted a detailed thread showing you how to self-custody your Bitcoin.  This is important due to (reasonable) declining trust in the exchanges.  At the time, I put up a link on the blog, but for those of you who don’t use Twitter, the attached PDF has all the details … Read more

Yet Another Reason You Shouldn’t Trust Sell-Side Research

Please feel free to check out today’s Twitter thread on sell-side research which touches on predictions for 2023 made here at DKI.  The key point is that big bank economists are predicting a recession while the “analysts” at those same big banks are projecting earnings and revenue growth for the S&P 500 this year.  If … Read more

Government Statistics Are Lies

All year, the market has been trading off of small differences between macro economic statistics and expectations.  One theme we’ve emphasized in 2022 is that government statistics do not represent reality; but rather, are generated by government employees to advance a specific narrative.  This happens under both Republican and Democratic administrations as no one wants … Read more

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