DeepSeek and the DKI Portfolio
As you all know by now, DeepSeek caused an implosion of the US-based technology and energy space on Monday. On Tuesday, the market decided it has over-reacted and many of the heavily-sold stocks regained ground. I want to address the speculation on both sides of the discussion and to update you on how this affects … Read more
Current Consensus View of the Fed is Probably Correct
The Federal Reserve will conclude its first meeting of 2025 later today, and Chairman Powell will hold his usual afternoon press conference. Some market observers are describing this as the least suspenseful meeting of the past three years, and I agree with them. The current consensus (almost 100%) opinion is that the Fed will leave … Read more
Weekly Points – January 24th, 2025 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Dollar, Gold, and Crypto Issue
President Trump took office and immediately created excitement, new policies, and uncertainty that affects the dollar, corporate trade, the future of technology, gold, Bitcoin and other digital assets. We’ll address some of these topics in this issue and come back to others in next week’s 5 Things. Goldman Sachs enters a debate DKI has been … Read more
Tariffs – A European View
Introduction: I’d like to thank DKI subscribers for their thoughtful response to last week’s article on the potential Trump Tariffs. I got a lot of nuanced opinions along the lines of “I mostly agree with you, but I see this issue differently”. That’s fantastic. Thanks to those of you who chose to share your thoughts … Read more
Tariffs – Preview
President Trump is dominating the headlines with a flurry of early activity. Much of that “activity” is talk about what might happen in the future. The financial world is most focused on the prospect of tariffs, and I’m already getting questions from DKI subscribers about the topic. Right now, I have an article in edit … Read more
Weekly Points – January 17th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Treasury Yield and Bitcoin Issue
This week, Bitcoin dove and then came roaring back above the $100k mark. We think people who believe higher Treasury yields will crash Bitcoin are correct in the short-term, but are missing the big picture regarding the reason for higher yields. Confusing? Don’t worry: We explain. DKI also believes quantum computing could be a cryptography … Read more