It’s been a volatile few days. Let’s recap: The Federal Reserve: I continue to believe the market is overestimating the impact Fed Chair nominee, Warsh, could have on the economy and the markets. Last week, there was reasonable fear that Warsh would be hawkish (favoring higher interest rates). I’m skeptical of that take, despite … Read more
Quick announcement: I’ll be in Bangkok for the next few weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. We had most of this … Read more
We got some weird price action yesterday (Thursday). Gold gyrated wildly, at one point swinging 10% in just a couple of hours. It has retreated from the $5,500 level back to $5,200 as of this writing. Silver took a break from its stratospheric rise and fell from around $120 to $111. Bitcoin plummeted to $81k … Read more
Quick announcement: I’ll be in Bangkok for the next few weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. President Trump upsets markets and … Read more
The CPI stays locked in a tight range thanks to the BLS presenting a constantly-understated version. High inflation continues regardless of the official statistics or the actions of the Fed. Chairman Powell announced that he’s being investigated causing political actors to bemoan the politization of the Fed. The Fed has always been a political institution … Read more
I’m getting a lot of questions and seeing a lot of discussion about why President Trump is about to enact 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada early next week. Government officials from both countries say that at this point, they aren’t completely sure what they’d need to do to be in compliance with the wishes … Read more
