A Market Run By Press Conferences

Introduction: We’ve noted two related market trends over the past few months.  The first is bad economic news is good for the market.  That’s because the Fed is more likely to slow rate hikes into a weaker economy.  Click the link for a more detailed description.  The second is the market has been trading based … Read more

Down Goes the Petrodollar

We have warned, and warned and warned that the design of the anti-Russian sanctions are impairing the value of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.  In particular, we have been concerned about the status of the petrodollar.  The US made a deal with Saudi Arabia in the 1970s where in exchange for the US … Read more

Yahoo Finance Gets it Right on S&P 500 Earnings

Last week, in an article titled “One Way or Another, We’re Going to End Up in the Same Place“, we wrote that we expected the Federal Reserve rate hikes to work and in the process, cause a further slowdown in economic growth.  Deep Knowledge Investing has said and written since February that the US economy … Read more

The Depth Report – The Reasons Sell-Side Research is Hopelessly Behind

Overview: We’ve had some fun lately at the expense of Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, who kept interest rates at zero for far too long and insisted that inflation would be “transitory” well past the point when Deep Knowledge Investing was warning it represented a real and persistent problem.  Then, we took note of “Hurricane” … Read more

Fed Raises by 50bp – Largest Increase in over 20 Years

Today, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50bp (half a percentage point), the largest increase since 2000.  They also laid out plans to start slowly unwinding the enormous $9 trillion balance sheet the institution is carrying.  We first highlighted the danger that understated and rising inflation posed back in November while the Fed was … Read more

We Called Stagflation a Month Ago – The Idea Seems to be Catching on Now

Preparing for Recession/Stagflation: In November, we prepared subscribers for coming inflation and noted that the current CPI number was not accurate.  We wrote: “Those huge increases in energy, housing, and food prices indicate that the relatively benign CPI number is underestimating the issue.”  In February, we openly said that the recent GDP number of 6.9 … Read more

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