As “expected” the Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate by another 75 basis points (.75%) today. We put “expected” in quotation marks because when we started writing about inflation ten months ago, the big Wall Street firms thought we’d get a total of 75 basis points of rate hikes for all of 2022. We … Read more
Introduction: We’ve noted two related market trends over the past few months. The first is bad economic news is good for the market. That’s because the Fed is more likely to slow rate hikes into a weaker economy. Click the link for a more detailed description. The second is the market has been trading based … Read more
We’ve pointed out more times than we can count that the Federal Reserve currently has around $9 trillion dollars of securities on its balance sheet. This includes trillions of dollars of mortgage securities its not allowed to own. The main reason that inflation has been so high this year has been the Fed’s increase of … Read more
We have warned, and warned and warned that the design of the anti-Russian sanctions are impairing the value of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In particular, we have been concerned about the status of the petrodollar. The US made a deal with Saudi Arabia in the 1970s where in exchange for the US … Read more
Overview: For the first time in almost 20 years, you can buy a euro for one dollar. As little as a year ago, a Euro cost about $1.19. In foreign exchange markets, that’s a huge move in a year. Here’s the chart: We first wrote about the stronger dollar vs other currencies two months ago, … Read more
Gary Brode, Founder of Deep Knowledge Investing, discusses “The Strategic and Economic Implications of Anti-Russian Sanctions,” as well as how U.S. policy is failing to protect the dollar’s reserve currency status and its effect on American consumers. This event took place on June 29, 2022 as a part of The Institute of World Politics’ lecture … Read more
At this point, you’ve probably read at least a dozen headlines explaining that the first half of 2022 is the worst for the market in over 50 years. The headlines and commentary we’re seeing are apoplectic. This came from Barron‘s last night: The first half of the year was terrible. Worst in decades for stocks. … Read more
