Overview: For the first time in almost 20 years, you can buy a euro for one dollar. As little as a year ago, a Euro cost about $1.19. In foreign exchange markets, that’s a huge move in a year. Here’s the chart: We first wrote about the stronger dollar vs other currencies two months ago, … Read more
At this point, you’ve probably read at least a dozen headlines explaining that the first half of 2022 is the worst for the market in over 50 years. The headlines and commentary we’re seeing are apoplectic. This came from Barron‘s last night: The first half of the year was terrible. Worst in decades for stocks. … Read more
Overview: The stock market, market analysts, and all of us here at Deep Knowledge Investing have been closely watching Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve for signs regarding future interest rate hikes. After keeping rates at zero and calling inflation “transitory” for far too long, he now seems focused on aggressively increasing interest rates to … Read more
Tree of Woe does the kind of deep-dive analysis that gets our attention here at Deep Knowledge Investing, and also has the funniest subscription page I’ve ever seen actually offering “moments of true woe and deep despair”. The recent “Running on Empty” series exploring the origins and effect of the petrodollar system is the best … Read more
Overview: We’ve been getting a lot of important questions recently from amateur investors regarding some of the more advanced topics we discuss at Deep Knowledge Investing. Many people have been taught about things like diversification and dollar cost averaging, but don’t really understand things like hedging, offsetting different kinds of risk, or shorting stocks. That’s … Read more
Overview: Today, the Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate by 75bp (.75%). It’s the largest increase in almost 30 years, and the big move was due to runaway inflation that the Fed had previously termed “transitory”. We’ve been on record for months saying that inflation is understated by approximately 100%, is not transitory, and … Read more
I’ve talked investment ideas on occasion with Gary Mishuris of Silver Ring Value Partners for many years. He’s one of the most disciplined investors I know with a very clear idea of what makes a good stock idea. Gary is also one of the best at explaining complicated investment ideas in an uncomplicated way. With … Read more
An article about poor earnings reports from retail companies in today’s Wall Street Journal noted, “The results are prompting Wall Street to wrestle anew with the idea that the global economy could be headed for a recession.” We warned about stagflation in February. We said clearly in May that stagflation is here. And we most … Read more
Just posted a lengthy description on inflation on Twitter and thought I’d copy it here so it’s easier for you to find: Last night a client asked me if inflation has peaked. Great question. I think no, but let’s start on the other side. Used auto prices up 40% last year were a huge contributor … Read more
