This post originally appeared on March 7, 2023 This morning Jerome Powell spoke in front of Congress, and added to his usual talking points that the Federal Reserve would keep rates higher for longer. Today, noting the strong economic growth and low unemployment, Powell added that the Fed might accelerate rate increases. People have been … Read more
Macau Gaming is Strong, Fed Struggles to Slow Economy Outside Real Estate, And More Crypto Fallout Lots of varied news this week. Again, we congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan. Every week his contribution to the “5 Things” grows. Fantastic to see a college student become a meaningful contributor. 1) Macau’s GGR Exceeds Expectations: Macau’s gross … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 27, 2023 Panel Introduction: I was fortunate enough to be one of the speakers at last week’s Strategic Investment Symposium at the College of Charleston. Mark Pyles is running a fantastic program there and the students I met are being well-prepared. My segment was called “Products vs Ingredients” and … Read more
Strong Economic Data Disappoints the “Pivot People” This week is the “Fed Edition” of the 5 Things. All the economic data that came out this week made a Fed pivot to lower interest rates less likely and further in the future. We also congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan, who did the heavy lifting on this … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 24, 2023 Introduction: This is Part II of a multi-part piece. Part I is available here. There is a lot of talk on FinTwit (financial Twitter) that the Federal Reserve has access to more data than we do. The implication is that because they have all of this information, … Read more
CPI High, PPI High, Retail Sales High, Fed Threatening Faster Rate Increases It was a rough week for the “pivot” people as economic data including inflation comes in above expectations. The Fed is threatening faster rate increases. One day, the Fed will pivot to lower rates, but we’re not there yet. If you don’t follow … Read more
Macro, More from Macau, and AI There was more macro news this week and the Federal Reserve continues to be the one key thing driving the market. Macau is fully open. We’re nearing the end of earnings season. I’d also like to take a moment to congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan who wrote a … Read more
