DKI has been speaking and writing about the financial issues facing Japan for more than a year. When interest rates were ultra-low, Japan took on massive debt totaling approximately 260% of GDP. That crushing debt load should have caused a financial collapse, but didn’t due to the lowest interest rates in recorded history including trillions … Read more
Fed Chairman, Powell, spoke today. During his talk, the market went up, then down, then back up before finishing down big. For those of you who are retro video game fans, this was the market version of the Konami Code. During his speech, Powell indicated the Fed was done hiking rates for now. As always, … Read more
The Chutzpah Issue Chutzpah is a Yiddish word that loosely translates to a combination of gall, obnoxious assumptions, and courage. There’s an old saying that the definition of chutzpah is killing your parents and begging the judge for leniency because you’re an orphan. I also like the way Futurama “explained” it. In this week’s 5 … Read more
This piece was originally published on October 12th, 2023. For the past two years, the financial world has focused on the actions of the Federal Reserve, wondering when they’d pause rate hikes or pivot to lower rates. While the Fed has an enormous amount of power, they only control the very short end of the … Read more
September CPI comes in at 3.7% which was above expectations. I’m updating the charts and will have a full update for subscribers this morning. Please check back – should have it done before the open.
This is an excerpt from Counter-Intuitive Inflation. We’ll be posting sections over the first two weeks of October. Epilogue: There’s no avoiding the fact that US government liabilities are already at a level that can’t be paid, and Congress is going to continue spending us further into bankruptcy (super-bankruptcy?). I want to provide some clarity … Read more
The Things That Aren’t an Issue Issue The market is deep into over-reacting to surface analysis mode. Stock prices are responding to news no one will remember in 5 days or to data that’s going to be revised out of meaning next month. In this special issue of the 5 Things, we’re going to focus … Read more
This piece was originally published on October 10th, 2023. In yesterday’s post, I mentioned the old saying that “in times of war, the first casualty is the truth”. There are a lot of interesting theories being discussed regarding the war in Israel. At this point, it’s too early to tell what’s real and what’s speculation, … Read more
