CPI High, PPI High, Retail Sales High, Fed Threatening Faster Rate Increases It was a rough week for the “pivot” people as economic data including inflation comes in above expectations. The Fed is threatening faster rate increases. One day, the Fed will pivot to lower rates, but we’re not there yet. If you don’t follow … Read more
Macro, More from Macau, and AI There was more macro news this week and the Federal Reserve continues to be the one key thing driving the market. Macau is fully open. We’re nearing the end of earnings season. I’d also like to take a moment to congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan who wrote a … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 16, 2023 Mark Rossano and I predicted the problems at the Bank of Japan two months before they capitulated and raised rates. The New York Alternative Investment Roundtable hosted us today to see what we thought has changed since then. You can see the whole video here: https://ny-alt.org/2023/02/15/nyair-episode-90-has-the-forecast-changed/ … Read more
I’ve made a couple of changes to the energy positions. For an updated version for subscribers, please check here: https://deepknowledgeinvesting.com/current-recommendations/
This post originally appeared on February 13, 2023 On Friday, after the close, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revised the December CPI number. People hoping for a Federal Reserve “pivot” to lower interest rates have been focused on the month to month CPI to get a sense of any short-term change in the direction … Read more
