Fed Hikes By 25bp – Doesn’t Matter

As expected, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight rate by 25bp (.25%). I think this was both the right move and irrelevant. Others disagree. – The Fed cited high inflation, high spending, high employment, and solid economic growth. – The dot plot shows 2 Governors who expect to keep the current fed funds rate through … Read more

ProCap Financial – Another Stock Buyback

ProCap Financial ($BRR) sold about 50 Bitcoin and bought back 2.2% of its shares outstanding at a discount to NAV. Since DKI established a position last month, the company has repurchased more than 4% of its shares outstanding which helped narrow the discount to NAV from 33% at the time of our initial purchase to … Read more

August CPI is 3.4%

CPI of 3.4% was in line with expectations and consistent with last month’s 3.4%. The monthly change was 0.4% driven by fuel and shelter. The monthly increase annualizes to 4.9%.   Core CPI of 2.4% was also in line with estimates and slightly below last month’s 2.5%. The monthly change of 0.3% was above estimates … Read more

Volatility Doesn’t Matter and Private Investments Aren’t Low Vol

Introduction: Decades ago, I took a finance class at the University of Michigan and vividly remember when the professor told us that the proper measure of risk is volatility. While I didn’t have the knowledge at the time to challenge the professor, I instinctively and immediately thought that this was incorrect. The only circumstance where … Read more

Portfolio Update

On August, 24, I told you I shorted Intel November $80 puts for $7.30. I just covered that short position at $2.80. The position returned 161% in two weeks. Intel is up more than 10% today on news it has produced more wafers using an advanced EUV process than the rest of the industry combined … Read more

ProCap Financial ($BRR) Buys Back 2% of Its Stock

ProCap Financial sold 50 Bitcoin and bought back 2% of its stock. The company says they repurchased the stock at a 40% discount to NAV. I had the discount slightly lower. The difference is probably due to the treatment of the warrants, but either way, these moves are highly value accretive to shareholders. The stock … Read more

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