I’ve worked for and run a variety of different hedge funds with multiple strategies: concentrated long-only, long-short equity, long-term value, special situations, growth investing, options-based hedging, and even risk arbitrage (betting on the results of an announced but not completed merger or acquisition). The best investors have a clear understanding of what makes a good investment … Read more
Introduction: We’ve noted in the past that many market participants are eagerly waiting for the “Fed pivot”; the time when they expect the Federal Reserve will reassure investors that it’s done raising rates and can get back to more of the fun zero-interest rate combined with trillions of dollars of quantitative easing. Of course that … Read more
As “expected” the Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate by another 75 basis points (.75%) today. We put “expected” in quotation marks because when we started writing about inflation ten months ago, the big Wall Street firms thought we’d get a total of 75 basis points of rate hikes for all of 2022. We … Read more
The title is intentionally confusing. Introduction: One of the most challenging parts of trying to evaluate the stock market is the second-order game of figuring out what everyone else is expecting. I’ve seen uncertain situations where we got the “bad” outcome and the stock went up on resolution of the uncertainty (even if it was … Read more
At this point, you’ve probably read at least a dozen headlines explaining that the first half of 2022 is the worst for the market in over 50 years. The headlines and commentary we’re seeing are apoplectic. This came from Barron‘s last night: The first half of the year was terrible. Worst in decades for stocks. … Read more
Last week, in an article titled “One Way or Another, We’re Going to End Up in the Same Place“, we wrote that we expected the Federal Reserve rate hikes to work and in the process, cause a further slowdown in economic growth. Deep Knowledge Investing has said and written since February that the US economy … Read more
Paul Gray of IronHold Capital and Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing discuss the US Dollar, Russian Sanctions, Inflation, and the Stock Market.
Overview: The stock market, market analysts, and all of us here at Deep Knowledge Investing have been closely watching Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve for signs regarding future interest rate hikes. After keeping rates at zero and calling inflation “transitory” for far too long, he now seems focused on aggressively increasing interest rates to … Read more
Overview: We’ve had some fun lately at the expense of Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, who kept interest rates at zero for far too long and insisted that inflation would be “transitory” well past the point when Deep Knowledge Investing was warning it represented a real and persistent problem. Then, we took note of “Hurricane” … Read more
