I wish I were making this up, but Jerome Powell actually acknowledged the Fed doesn’t have high confidence in its own forecasts. In fairness, we don’t have confidence in their forecasts either. DKI pointed that out in a recent monthly letter where we detailed how inaccurate even near-term Fed forecasts have been. Past that, there … Read more
This is an excerpt from the DKI July letter: There’s a big argument happening in the financial community right now regarding the status of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are expanding their coalition which now includes more than half the population of … Read more
This post originally appeared on April 24, 2023. Introduction: DKI has been writing about the danger to the dollar as the world’s reserve currency for over a year and on more than a dozen occasions. From a piece we published earlier this month: Most notably, I gave an hour-long lecture at the Institute for World … Read more
This post originally appeared on April 6, 2023 DKI has covered the decline of the petrodollar more than a dozen times in the last year. Most notably, I gave an hour-long lecture at the Institute for World Politics explaining how the anti-Russian sanctions were not hurting the Russians; but rather, destroying the value of the … Read more
Alex Macris wrote an incredible four part series on the history of the petrodollar which included some prescient projections regarding the future of the US dollar. I featured his work on this blog, and then Alex invited me to write Part V explaining what you could do to protect yourself from coming problems. Running on … Read more
We have warned, and warned and warned that the design of the anti-Russian sanctions are impairing the value of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In particular, we have been concerned about the status of the petrodollar. The US made a deal with Saudi Arabia in the 1970s where in exchange for the US … Read more
Tree of Woe does the kind of deep-dive analysis that gets our attention here at Deep Knowledge Investing, and also has the funniest subscription page I’ve ever seen actually offering “moments of true woe and deep despair”. The recent “Running on Empty” series exploring the origins and effect of the petrodollar system is the best … Read more
