This post originally appeared on March 7, 2023 This morning Jerome Powell spoke in front of Congress, and added to his usual talking points that the Federal Reserve would keep rates higher for longer. Today, noting the strong economic growth and low unemployment, Powell added that the Fed might accelerate rate increases. People have been … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 24, 2023 Introduction: This is Part II of a multi-part piece. Part I is available here. There is a lot of talk on FinTwit (financial Twitter) that the Federal Reserve has access to more data than we do. The implication is that because they have all of this information, … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 13, 2023 On Friday, after the close, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revised the December CPI number. People hoping for a Federal Reserve “pivot” to lower interest rates have been focused on the month to month CPI to get a sense of any short-term change in the direction … Read more
