I’m still in Antigua, Guatemala where the weather is beautiful and I was woken up at 1am by the second earthquake in two weeks here. If one of you has upset a volcano, please apologize. The Federal Reserve kept the fed funds rate unchanged. Many expressed concern regarding the three dissenters who wanted a 25bp … Read more
This week, The Epoch Times reported that DeepSeek paused a fundraising round due to comments made by its Founder, Liang Wenfeng, at a conference. These comments focused on the superiority of “noncompliant cards” and DeepSeek’s ability to obtain them. While Nvidia wasn’t named, it’s clear he was commenting on his ability to access Nvidia GPUs … Read more
The Fed completed its first Warsh-led meeting and promptly spooked the market with a hawkish dot plot. I think that doesn’t matter as inflation is being driven by Congress. Warsh is declining to provide guidance which I view as a positive. All the chatter wasn’t getting us better results and the Fed tends to be … Read more
The CPI rose again and cracked 4%. Energy is still expensive, but you already knew that. The big issue is Powell never got inflation under control. People panicked that Warsh would cut. He can’t and at this point, there’s nothing the Fed can do (something I’ve been saying for the past two years). Bitcoin has … Read more
Nvidia startles the CPU designers with plans to start selling Windows PCs with Spark CPUs and RTX GPUs. They’re aimed at high-end content creators and AI users. There may be some compatibility issues with the ARM-based processors, but it’s a positive to see more AI computing pushed to personal devices with fewer privacy issues. Uber … Read more
Kevin Warsh takes the big chair with no room to cut. The stock market yawns and I point out for the nth time that Fed rate cuts don’t lead to lower borrowing rates. The yield on the Japanese Government 30 year is up by even more leading to a reduced incentive for the carry trade. … Read more
I started buying Intel in the mid-$30s in November. I bought more in the $40s and the $50s over the next few months. I sold a little bit in the $60s, a little more in the mid-$80s, and last week, I sold more in the mid-$120s (just under $127). The reason for the sales is … Read more
Spirit Airlines filed for Chapter 7 leading X to try to assign political blame. Elizabeth Warren was wrong to brag about blocking the Jet Blue deal and crowing that it was a win for the Biden Administration, but was there something else going on as well? We provide a completely different view free from partisan … Read more
After a year-long travel adventure, I’ve returned from Tokyo to New York. I expect to be in the NYC/CT area for the next month or so. I intend to re-rent out my house and then depart for another year of living and working in different countries. This life suits me. I’ll publish an update at … Read more
