Weekly Points – October 18th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Central Bankers Are Delusional Issue

Central banks shatter irony meters as a Fed Governor insists they have unlimited dollars, but it’s Bitcoin that has no value. Not to be outdone, the European Central Bank lowers interest rates and at the same time, warns of coming higher inflation. They’d be better off admitting they’re trapped than saying nonsensical things in public. … Read more

Weekly Points – October 11th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The We Warned You About Rebound Inflation Edition

Most of this week’s 5 Things relates to government mismanagement of the economy. We draw two conclusions. First, the government should involve itself in less of the economy. Second, we should have called this “The Government is Mismanaging Things Edition”. One month after DKI told you the Fed cut rates too soon, the Core CPI … Read more

September CPI is 2.4%

Overview: Today, we got the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.4% for the last year and 0.2% for the month. That’s slightly below last month’s 2.5% and above expectations by 0.1%. The 0.2% monthly increase was above the 0.1% expected. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy … Read more

Weekly Points – October 4th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Rising Price of Commodities Edition

Bank of America $BAC has an outage with customers showing balances of zero. The customers are horrified. Want to know why the Bitcoin community finds this hilarious? The answer is hubris. Japan communicates it is dedicated to keeping ultra-low interest rates. The yen predictably declines again. Costco $COST made a fortune selling gold bars. Now … Read more

Weekly Points – September 27th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Government is Trying to Control too Much Issue

The theme in the markets this week was all about increasing government control of the economy and the money supply. The Chinese government poured liquidity into their banking and housing sectors causing equity markets all over the world to rise. There’s new evidence that the government intentionally and unnecessarily killed Silvergate bank. We explain why … Read more

The Fed Pivot is Here

Overview: The Federal Reserve completed its September meeting and decided to cut the fed funds rate by 50bp (.5%). Significant items:   The market knew the Fed would pivot and cut at this meeting. There was substantial debate regarding the size of the cut. I had expected 25bp (.25%). The doves in the crowd calling … Read more

Weekly Points – September 13th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Pivot Week Issue

The long-awaited pivot is here. The Federal Reserve is going to cut the fed funds rate this week. Asset gatherers celebrate the opportunity to blow up another asset bubble. The rest of the country should prepare for more misery-causing inflation. Russia talks about limiting exports of uranium during a multi-year supply shortage. Multiple people pinged … Read more

August CPI is 2.5%

Overview: Today, we got the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.5% for the last year and 0.3% for the month. That’s below last month’s 2.9% and consistent with expectations. The 0.3% monthly increase was above the 0.2% expected, and a bigger increase than last month’s 0.2%. The Core … Read more

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