The Chutzpah Issue Chutzpah is a Yiddish word that loosely translates to a combination of gall, obnoxious assumptions, and courage. There’s an old saying that the definition of chutzpah is killing your parents and begging the judge for leniency because you’re an orphan. I also like the way Futurama “explained” it. In this week’s 5 … Read more
The Things That Aren’t an Issue Issue The market is deep into over-reacting to surface analysis mode. Stock prices are responding to news no one will remember in 5 days or to data that’s going to be revised out of meaning next month. In this special issue of the 5 Things, we’re going to focus … Read more
The Shutdown Isn’t an Issue Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Is the coming government shutdown a real problem or just theater? Counter-intuitive inflation: Is there anything the Federal Reserve can do? New home sales plummeting – from already low levels! Smart Bitcoiner takes aim at sovereign debt. … Read more
The Higher for Longer Again Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Was this the most hawkish “pause” ever by Jerome Powell? Will reduced Russian refining capacity cause the price of oil to rise even more? Will rising energy prices continue to crush disinflation? Can rate hikes produce … Read more
The Un-Disinflation Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: With the CPI rising again, is disinflation dead for now? With the PPI above expectations, is disinflation dead for now? Is the Fed responsible for our “terrible” economy? Have they overtightened? Should the new ARM IPO price ABOVE $NVDA? Powell … Read more
Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Is the disinflation story done now? Can the Japanese yen recover? Are we finally about to get a Bitcoin ETF ($GBTC)? How much trouble can we expect for Disney ($DIS)? Is the employment situation better than we thought last week? Ready for the … Read more
The Employment Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Is the labor market cooling as quickly as some believe? How long can housing prices continue to rise? Is the trend towards services spending and away from goods continuing? Will anyone be able to get a job next year? Is … Read more
The R-star and Shoplifting Issue Lots of interesting news this week where we address these important questions: Jerome Powell is again more hawkish than the market expected or hoped. Rates to 6%? More bank downgrades. One bank index shows no shareholder value creation in 25 years. Nvidia ($NVDA) has a fantastic quarter and the stock … Read more
The Surprisingly Strong Macro and Weak Company Issue Last week’s issue was titled “The Surprisingly Weak Macro Issue” due to multiple negative data points on the economy. Consistent with a trend of inconsistent data which DKI has been pointing out since last November, we got multiple positive data points this week combined with some concerning … Read more
The Surprisingly Weak Macro Issue As we approach the tail-end of 2Q company earnings, the market turned back to focusing on more macro issues, and was immediately “rewarded” by lots of not-so-good news. In this week’s 5 Things, we’ll cover: CPI rose and Core CPI remains sticky. Will the index continue to rise? PPI wasn’t … Read more
