Japanese Debt – We’re Taking a Victory Lap

We told you last night that Japan was throwing in the towel on its (approximately) zero interest rates and was raising rates to defend the yen.  I read today that earlier this month, Morgan Stanley had predicted that Japan would hold the line on its debt through all of 2023.  While it’s hard to make … Read more

Do You Adapt to Changing Market Conditions?

I’ve worked for and run a variety of different hedge funds with multiple strategies: concentrated long-only, long-short equity, long-term value, special situations, growth investing, options-based hedging, and even risk arbitrage (betting on the results of an announced but not completed merger or acquisition).  The best investors have a clear understanding of what makes a good investment … Read more

We Were Very Close to a Disaster Yesterday – Here’s Why:

Introduction: Tuesday evening, futures markets traded down on news that Apple was seeing lower than expected demand for the new iPhone.  On Wednesday, the markets rallied with the S&P 500 up 2.0% and the NASDAQ up 2.1%.  The reason was the Bank of England announced they would buy long-dated UK treasury securities.  The BoE made … Read more

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