Search Results for: 5 Things
The Depth Report – Update on the Market, the Economy, and the Fed – Part III
Introduction: In Part I and Part II, we covered several aspects of Inflation/CPI. It’s the single most important financial issue for 2022 so we explored the topic in depth. Cutting to the end, a combination of higher interest rates, comparisons with last year’s high CPI, and falling real estate and auto prices will ensure the … Read more
Japanese Debt – We’re Taking a Victory Lap
We told you last night that Japan was throwing in the towel on its (approximately) zero interest rates and was raising rates to defend the yen. I read today that earlier this month, Morgan Stanley had predicted that Japan would hold the line on its debt through all of 2023. While it’s hard to make … Read more
Do You Adapt to Changing Market Conditions?
I’ve worked for and run a variety of different hedge funds with multiple strategies: concentrated long-only, long-short equity, long-term value, special situations, growth investing, options-based hedging, and even risk arbitrage (betting on the results of an announced but not completed merger or acquisition). The best investors have a clear understanding of what makes a good investment … Read more
We Were Very Close to a Disaster Yesterday – Here’s Why:
Introduction: Tuesday evening, futures markets traded down on news that Apple was seeing lower than expected demand for the new iPhone. On Wednesday, the markets rallied with the S&P 500 up 2.0% and the NASDAQ up 2.1%. The reason was the Bank of England announced they would buy long-dated UK treasury securities. The BoE made … Read more