Japan, Failing Fiat, and Precious Metals

Overview: There’s been a lot in the news and on Fin-X lately about Japan, record gold prices, and skyrocketing silver. Here’s a quick summary of the situation(s).   Japan: I was going to write a long explanation, and then realized I’ve covered this in detail in the past. The short version is Japan ran up … Read more

The 2% Target Has Been Abandoned

Overview: The Federal Reserve concluded its October meeting and as expected, lowered the fed funds rate by 25bp (.25%). The market celebrated…until Chairman Powell said that the Fed hadn’t decided to cut another 25bp in December. This caused the market to fall, but I’m not sure under what circumstances he would have said the decision … Read more

Macro Update – I’m Shocked – Well, Not That Shocked

I write these macro updates infrequently. I try to do so when I have something significant to say that’s different from the dominant narrative. Conventional wisdom in the markets is correct more often than not. But when I find myself annoyed at the obvious falsehoods in the financial reporting and on Fin-X on a daily … Read more

July CPI is 2.7%

Overview: Today, we got the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.7% for the last year and up 0.2% for the month (annualizes to 2.4%). The annual number is flat from June and 0.1% below expectations. The monthly is up 0.2% and consistent with expectations. The Core CPI which … Read more

President Trump, the Fed, and What Really Matters

Federal Reserve Governor, Kugler, resigned early, and President Trump has the opportunity to select her predecessor. The President will also be able to replace Chairman Powell when his term expires next May. As usual, FinX (Formerly FinTwit) and the financial press are losing their minds that President Trump has the opportunity to select the people … Read more

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