Intel ($INTC) 1Q ’26 Results

Intel $INTC announced 1Q earnings that were far above expectations. The stock is up 22% in aftermarket trading as I write this. Revenue and EPS crushed expectations. Guidance was also above analyst estimates.   On the conference call, there was positive discussion regarding yields improving faster than expected in the 18A plant, a key part … Read more

The Strait of Hormuz Reverse Uno Card

When Raji Khabbaz and I were running Silver Arrow Investment Management, whenever we were trying to figure out why something happened, he was unsatisfied the explanation that people are sometimes stupid and institutions are often stupid. He correctly thought that people usually have a good reason (at least to them) for doing something even if … Read more

Post Hoc Analysis

As before, anything I write regarding the situation in Iran is based on what I believe to be true right now. None of us know how accurate any individual report is. Every party involved has an incentive to shape opinions regardless of what’s really happening on the ground. Again, I’ve seen videos claiming to show … Read more

A Change of Perception

Yesterday, I visited the 1,000 year-old Khmer temples just outside of Siem Reap, Cambodia. I had seen these magnificent structures more than 20 years ago when I first visited. The Ta Prohm Buddhist temple became famous after being featured in one of the Tomb Raider films. I’ve played through several of the games and it’s … Read more

Thoughts on Bitcoin

The dollar price of Bitcoin is down almost 50% from the all-time highs reached just a few months ago. The Bitcoin haters are busy declaring victory (and ignoring that many of them have been negative on the digital asset when it was trading at $1,000). Some of the defenders are saying it’s a great time … Read more

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