We’ve featured the work of Laks Ganapathi previously. She’s smart, interesting, and subversive. You enter a conversation with her expecting one outcome, and ten minutes later, realize she’s taken a completely different approach to the subject and has detailed reasons for her unexpected conclusion. I was about to write a piece on the connection between … Read more
The title is intentionally confusing. Introduction: One of the most challenging parts of trying to evaluate the stock market is the second-order game of figuring out what everyone else is expecting. I’ve seen uncertain situations where we got the “bad” outcome and the stock went up on resolution of the uncertainty (even if it was … Read more
Introduction: At various times, there have been situations where economic news that was better than expected led to an immediate market decline, and where negative or disappointing economic news led to the market rising. This effect has been particularly pronounced this year. Ever wonder who’s benefiting from a bad economy and want to know what’s … Read more
Introduction: Today’s inflation report came in at 8.5% which was slightly below the 8.7% that the market expected. The thinking is that now that inflation has come down from the 9.1% from last month and was below the expected number, we’re closer to Federal Reserve rate cuts and that’s why the market was up today. … Read more
Russia/Ukraine and the Implications for Our Relationship With Adversaries (including China). I’m speaking with three members of the Deep Knowledge Investing Board of Advisors: • Dr. John Lenczowski (President Reagan’s National Security Advisor on the Soviet Union and Founder of the Institute for World Politics) • Lt. Colonel (Ret) Jason Galui (West Point economics professor, … Read more
We have warned, and warned and warned that the design of the anti-Russian sanctions are impairing the value of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In particular, we have been concerned about the status of the petrodollar. The US made a deal with Saudi Arabia in the 1970s where in exchange for the US … Read more
Great guest post today from DKI Board of Advisors member Howard Freedland. He’s been working in the residential and commercial real estate space in the ultra-hot West Palm Beach, FL market. That market has seen some of the biggest excesses of the Covid-real estate era, and as we predicted several months ago, it’s all starting … Read more
