What if OpenAI is Like Enron and Nvidia is Like Cisco

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Last year, there was a lot of reasonable speculation that Cisco $CSCO from a quarter-century ago was analogous to Nvidia $NVDA now. The thinking was that Cisco was selling the hardware that new internet companies needed. (That was analogous to selling the picks and shovels to gold miners more than 100 years earlier.) When the … Read more

Federal Reserve – As Expected

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The Fed press release just came out. I’m getting you my quick bullet points now. Powell press conference in 15 minutes. I’ll update if he says anything that changes my conclusions. – Fed lowers 25bp (.25%) as expected. This is what the market and DKI thought would happen. – There was one dissent. Miran, the … Read more

scPharmaceuticals Tender

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According to Morgan Stanley, the cutoff date to tender your shares in the scPharma ($SCPH) acquisition is October 3rd, 3 days before the October 6th expiration date. Effectively, your options are to tender and receive $5.35 in cash plus the contingent value right (CVR) I’ve written about and explained in previous posts….or…..to sell your shares … Read more

Macro Update – I’m Shocked – Well, Not That Shocked

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I write these macro updates infrequently. I try to do so when I have something significant to say that’s different from the dominant narrative. Conventional wisdom in the markets is correct more often than not. But when I find myself annoyed at the obvious falsehoods in the financial reporting and on Fin-X on a daily … Read more

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