We’re nearing another Shutdown Theater event where people pretend the government “shutting down” will result in disaster and both “sides” engaging in brinkmanship gaming. Prediction markets indicate that it’s likely we get a shutdown at midnight tonight. The stock market has shrugged and indicated it doesn’t care. Fiat economists are threatening that each day the … Read more
Last year, there was a lot of reasonable speculation that Cisco $CSCO from a quarter-century ago was analogous to Nvidia $NVDA now. The thinking was that Cisco was selling the hardware that new internet companies needed. (That was analogous to selling the picks and shovels to gold miners more than 100 years earlier.) When the … Read more
The big news of the week was the Fed doing exactly what we all expected they’d do; cut the fed funds rate into inflation 50% above the made-up 2% target. Did anyone else catch Chairman Powell accidentally agreeing with President Trump? Gemni has its IPO and the Nasdaq invests. Did anyone expect the crypto markets … Read more
The Fed press release just came out. I’m getting you my quick bullet points now. Powell press conference in 15 minutes. I’ll update if he says anything that changes my conclusions. – Fed lowers 25bp (.25%) as expected. This is what the market and DKI thought would happen. – There was one dissent. Miran, the … Read more
According to Morgan Stanley, the cutoff date to tender your shares in the scPharma ($SCPH) acquisition is October 3rd, 3 days before the October 6th expiration date. Effectively, your options are to tender and receive $5.35 in cash plus the contingent value right (CVR) I’ve written about and explained in previous posts….or…..to sell your shares … Read more
We have an extra-long version of the 5 Things this news-heavy week. The CPI rose and was above expectations. The Fed is still going to cut. There’s still no evidence of massive tariff-based inflation yet. The BLS crushes its former record for downward job revisions. They need new methodology and President Trump was right to … Read more
