At this point, you’ve probably read at least a dozen headlines explaining that the first half of 2022 is the worst for the market in over 50 years. The headlines and commentary we’re seeing are apoplectic. This came from Barron‘s last night: The first half of the year was terrible. Worst in decades for stocks. … Read more
My Ravn of Invested.dk interviews Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing on oil, gold, currency, and portfolio hedging. We’d like to thank My, the Invested.dk community, and our Norwegian friends who joined us for this interesting webinar on current market issues.
Last week, in an article titled “One Way or Another, We’re Going to End Up in the Same Place“, we wrote that we expected the Federal Reserve rate hikes to work and in the process, cause a further slowdown in economic growth. Deep Knowledge Investing has said and written since February that the US economy … Read more
Overview: We’ve had some fun lately at the expense of Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, who kept interest rates at zero for far too long and insisted that inflation would be “transitory” well past the point when Deep Knowledge Investing was warning it represented a real and persistent problem. Then, we took note of “Hurricane” … Read more
Today, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50bp (half a percentage point), the largest increase since 2000. They also laid out plans to start slowly unwinding the enormous $9 trillion balance sheet the institution is carrying. We first highlighted the danger that understated and rising inflation posed back in November while the Fed was … Read more
Overview: The US Bureau of Labor Statistics just announced the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8.5%, the highest number in just over 40 years. Some government officials are pointing to the core number excluding food and energy (for people who don’t use either?) of “just” 6.5% which is the highest number in just under … Read more
Preparing for Recession/Stagflation: In November, we prepared subscribers for coming inflation and noted that the current CPI number was not accurate. We wrote: “Those huge increases in energy, housing, and food prices indicate that the relatively benign CPI number is underestimating the issue.” In February, we openly said that the recent GDP number of 6.9 … Read more
