Inflation
Weekly Points – September 20th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The We Pivoted Bigly Issue
Years ago, President Trump talked about a change in tax rates that he described as “big league”. It was misinterpreted as “bigly” and a new word entered the lexicon. Last week, the Fed pivoted and cut the fed funds rate. This cut was more than two years after Fed doves and asset gatherers started begging … Read more
The Fed Pivot is Here
Overview: The Federal Reserve completed its September meeting and decided to cut the fed funds rate by 50bp (.5%). Significant items: The market knew the Fed would pivot and cut at this meeting. There was substantial debate regarding the size of the cut. I had expected 25bp (.25%). The doves in the crowd calling … Read more
Weekly Points – September 13th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Pivot Week Issue
The long-awaited pivot is here. The Federal Reserve is going to cut the fed funds rate this week. Asset gatherers celebrate the opportunity to blow up another asset bubble. The rest of the country should prepare for more misery-causing inflation. Russia talks about limiting exports of uranium during a multi-year supply shortage. Multiple people pinged … Read more
August CPI is 2.5%
Overview: Today, we got the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.5% for the last year and 0.3% for the month. That’s below last month’s 2.9% and consistent with expectations. The 0.3% monthly increase was above the 0.2% expected, and a bigger increase than last month’s 0.2%. The Core … Read more
Weekly Points – August 23rd, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Uranium Market is Out of Balance Issue
The week started with political proposals that will lead to production cuts and a reduced food supply. In the middle of the week, DKI released its new health care stock idea. Subscribers are already up around 20% in the name. The week ended with uranium production cuts and Fed Chairman, Powell, indicating the expected September … Read more
The Week in Preview
Overview: With the end of summer here and the markets closed next Monday, we’re expecting a slow news week with many market participants taking off mid-week for an extended holiday. As a result, we may choose to skip the 5 Things this week and pick that up the following week. Instead, I’ll provide you with … Read more
Weekly Points – August 16th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Disinflation Issue
The big news this week was the lower-than-expected CPI and PPI figures for July. While expectations for a September 50bp (0.5%) rate cut by the Fed changes on a daily basis, DKI agrees with current consensus that we’ll see a 25bp cut next month. We believe that’s premature and unwise, but still think that’s what’s … Read more
July CPI is 2.9% – Breaks 3-Handle
Overview: Today, we got the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.9% for the last year and 0.2% for the month. That’s below last month’s 3.0% and expectations of 3.0%. The 0.2% monthly increase was in line with the 0.2% expected, and a bigger increase vs last month’s -0.1%. … Read more
Weekly Points – August 9th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The We Don’t Have Your Data Issue
At the same time the Bank of Japan caused panic and traders began to unwind the carry trade, something DKI has been talking about since October of 2022, multiple retail trading platforms failed. It might be a good time to hedge your portfolio, or have some assets outside the financial system (or both). Last week, … Read more