Not a Market Event – Part II
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Not a Market Event
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5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Double Silver Issue
Silver pricing rockets as warehouses can’t supply everyone with obligations to deliver rare metal rather than unlimited fiat. The CME tries to help, but can’t change the long-term supply/demand equation here. China limits exports of silver as they continue to build stockpiles. US tech firms respond by publicly saying they’re looking at buying silver mines. … Read more
Japan, Failing Fiat, and Precious Metals
Overview: There’s been a lot in the news and on Fin-X lately about Japan, record gold prices, and skyrocketing silver. Here’s a quick summary of the situation(s). Japan: I was going to write a long explanation, and then realized I’ve covered this in detail in the past. The short version is Japan ran up … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The CPI is “Estimated” Issue
We got an estimated CPI that shows inflation has slowed. The market loved seeing that, but I still think inflation is too high. Plus, do any of you think the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated a low CPI? Me either. Oil prices continue to fall. Efforts to embargo Russian oil have failed. DKI predicted this … Read more
November CPI is 2.7%
Overview: Today, we got the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.7% for the last year. There was no October report due to the government shutdown so there will be no monthly comparisons in this piece. The annual number is down 0.3% from the September report and 0.4% below … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The It Just Doesn’t Matter Issue
The Fed cuts by 25bp as expected with more Fed Governors dissenting. At this point, nothing the Fed is going to do actually affects the rate at which businesses and homebuyers borrow. However, a restart of QE (however you want to define the term) means they’re committed to more inflation. The DKI portfolio is prepared … Read more
The Fed Cuts – QE is Back
The Federal Reserve concluded its last meeting of 2025 and as expected, lowered the fed funds rate by 25bp (.25%). In an increasingly more common event there was dissent. For years, any Fed Governor dissenting was unusual. Any arguments were held behind closed doors while the committee presented a unified face to the public. Today’s … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 31st, 2025 – The Scary Powell Comment Issue
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The 2% Target Has Been Abandoned
Overview: The Federal Reserve concluded its October meeting and as expected, lowered the fed funds rate by 25bp (.25%). The market celebrated…until Chairman Powell said that the Fed hadn’t decided to cut another 25bp in December. This caused the market to fall, but I’m not sure under what circumstances he would have said the decision … Read more
