The new CPI was a win for the disinflation crowd as the all-items inflation metric falls to 2.3%. On the other hand, we’ve been above the 2% target for 50 straight months, and I think the target is 2% too high. The market celebrated a temporary tariff truce with China as both sides agree to … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.3% for the last year and up 0.2% for the month. Those are both 0.1% below expectations. The 0.2% monthly increase reverses last month’s -0.1% deflation figure. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was up 2.8% … Read more
The big news of the week was President Trump delaying tariff implementation for 90 days, a possibility I outlined for DKI subscribers the previous Sunday. Tariffs remain in place for China which responded with public insults and by increasing their own tariffs. They threatened to watch fewer Hollywood films, something I expect is of zero … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.4% for the last year and -0.1% for the month. That’s a big decrease from last month’s 2.8%, below expectations of 2.5%, and the monthly number represents deflation. Small deflation, but it’s in the right direction. The Core … Read more
One month after the market worried about an increase in the CPI, it celebrated a slightly lower reading. That seems great until you look at the chart and see that there’s been no real progress on inflation in months. In order to get inflation down, the government could cut wasteful spending. DKI likes that option … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.8% for the last year and 0.2% for the month (annualizes to 2.4%). That’s below last month’s 3.0% and above the prior month’s 2.9%. Both the annual number and the monthly were 0.1% below expectations. The monthly was … Read more
Many Americans are horrified at how our government is spending money. Candidate Trump ran for President promising to go through the budget line by line. Most Americans expected to find waste, but the amount of theft and fraud is staggering. We also found out that the “independent” press is being funded by massive “foreign aid” … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 3.0% for the last year and 0.5% for the month (annualizes to 6.2%). That’s above last month’s 2.9% and above the prior month’s 2.7%. The annual number was 0.1% above expectations. The monthly was a large 0.2% above … Read more
This week, Bitcoin dove and then came roaring back above the $100k mark. We think people who believe higher Treasury yields will crash Bitcoin are correct in the short-term, but are missing the big picture regarding the reason for higher yields. Confusing? Don’t worry: We explain. DKI also believes quantum computing could be a cryptography … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.9% for the last year and 0.4% for the month (annualizes to 4.9%). That’s above last month’s 2.7% and above the prior month’s 2.6%. It was in-line with expectations. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was … Read more
