Market Commentary
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – November 3rd, 2023
The More Problems in Sovereign Debt Issue We’re looking at massive worldwide sovereign debt problems. The Bank of Japan decided to stop defending the 1% rate ceiling on its 10-year bond to stop further weakness in the yen. Not to be outdone, the US Treasury announces plans for trillions of dollars of new bond auctions. … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 27th, 2023
The Non-Correlated Issue The stock market is falling with the S&P 500 now down more than 10% from its 2023 high. Investors are starting to realize that “higher for longer” now includes inflation and government spending. Bond yields are rising despite the Fed signaling they’re done hiking for now. GDP is high, but misleading. Investors … Read more
Japan is in Trouble – US Treasury Department Trying to Catch up to Them
DKI has been speaking and writing about the financial issues facing Japan for more than a year. When interest rates were ultra-low, Japan took on massive debt totaling approximately 260% of GDP. That crushing debt load should have caused a financial collapse, but didn’t due to the lowest interest rates in recorded history including trillions … Read more
Powell’s Done and It’s Too Late
Fed Chairman, Powell, spoke today. During his talk, the market went up, then down, then back up before finishing down big. For those of you who are retro video game fans, this was the market version of the Konami Code. During his speech, Powell indicated the Fed was done hiking rates for now. As always, … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – October 13th, 2023
The Chutzpah Issue Chutzpah is a Yiddish word that loosely translates to a combination of gall, obnoxious assumptions, and courage. There’s an old saying that the definition of chutzpah is killing your parents and begging the judge for leniency because you’re an orphan. I also like the way Futurama “explained” it. In this week’s 5 … Read more
The Bond Vigilantes Have Arrived
This piece was originally published on October 12th, 2023. For the past two years, the financial world has focused on the actions of the Federal Reserve, wondering when they’d pause rate hikes or pivot to lower rates. While the Fed has an enormous amount of power, they only control the very short end of the … Read more