Market Commentary

Besent Looks to Japan

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It’s just past 1pm in New York as I write this. $BRR up 10.2% Gold up 3.4% Bitcoin up 5.7% Silver up 3.4% 10-Year Treasury yield down 3bp (.03%) 30-Year Treasury yield down 7bp (.07%) That’s a lot of volatility in assets that typically aren’t very volatile. It’s also a lot of volatility for $BRR … Read more

July CPI is 3.4%

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CPI of 3.4% was in line with expectations and a small decrease vs last month’s 3.5%. The monthly change was 0.1% and as usual, was driven by shelter which accounted for two-thirds of the rise. Core CPI of 2.5% was also in line with estimates and slightly below last month’s 2.6%. The monthly change of … Read more

5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Yentervention Issue

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I’ll be in the Lake Atitlan, Guatemala are for the next two weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. DKI also added a … Read more

Digital Security Alert

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Was I the target of a fraud attempt? You tell me. I received a call during dinner this evening from a number that showed up on my caller ID as being from Morgan Stanley. The person on the line told me he was calling about a check I had entered into the online banking system … Read more

DeepSeek Founder Says the Quiet Part Out Loud

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This week, The Epoch Times reported that DeepSeek paused a fundraising round due to comments made by its Founder, Liang Wenfeng, at a conference. These comments focused on the superiority of “noncompliant cards” and DeepSeek’s ability to obtain them. While Nvidia wasn’t named, it’s clear he was commenting on his ability to access Nvidia GPUs … Read more

The Fed Holds with Healthy Dissents

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The Federal Reserve concluded its July meeting and elected to keep the fed funds rate unchanged. Wall Street had a meaningful probability on a small rate hike (around 33%). While I understood the logic, and would have voted to hike had I been in the room, I was on record saying I thought they’d hold. … Read more

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