I’m pleased to announce that this week, acclaimed economics writer, Mish Shedlock, has joined the Deep Knowledge Investing Board of Advisors. Mish is a great thinker, detailed researcher, and clear writer. He’s offered DKI readers this guest post detailing the recent increase in consumer credit usage. His commentary on the beginning of a decline in … Read more
The Inconsistent Data Issue DKI has been writing about inconsistent economic data since last November. We’re now seeing the ISM, PMI, goods and discretionary purchases all showing weakness. Lumber is down but housing prices haven’t crashed yet despite higher financing costs. Services and employment data all showing strength. Don’t know what all of those things … Read more
Hi All, In late March, I let subscribers know I was buying $ENVA $40 strike calls for June 16 expiration. Full details and explanation of my thinking here: https://deepknowledgeinvesting.com/new-portfolio-position/. Enova stock rose as expected, and the value of the options rose as well. With just over two weeks to go to expiration, I sold the … Read more
The Crisis Issue In this week’s 5 Things we examine a possible government debt default, a possible coming recession, the Federal Reserve’s continuing insistence that we’re not getting a pivot, and the possibility that AI destroys humanity (or at least the stock market). Let’s dive in… 1) Nvidia Earnings Good – Guidance Great ($NVDA) Graphics … Read more
This post originally appeared on May 23, 2023. Introduction: For those of you who don’t follow the daily hyperventilating financial press, the big news during the last few weeks has been the potential debt default by the US government that will roil financial markets, make international trade uncertain, and cause a worldwide recession or worse. … Read more
Newsday is reporting that Nassau County has approved using the site of the Nassau Colosseum for a Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) multi-billion dollar hotel and casino. Sands has been talking about expanding into a new market for years. For a while it looked like Spain was the best option, and then, the company was almost … Read more
The Corporate Earnings Issue Company earnings this week tell us a lot more about the economy and the health of the consumer. The housing market remains largely locked-up with falling transaction volume. Fed Governors now agreeing with DKI. (I know – I didn’t expect to write that either.) Plus, there’s a new stock writeup on … Read more
The Macro Issue (Again) Lots of new macro data this week with less company news. In a trend we’ve been highlighting for 6 months, the data is inconsistent. The good news is whether you’d like to see higher rates, lower rates, a stronger economy, a weaker economy, or a better/worse labor market, there’s something to … Read more
