The Higher for Longer – Plus Faster Version Jerome Powell does his version of the Six Million Dollar Man telling Congress rates will be higher for longer, and faster than many hoped. A stronger than expected economy continues to disappoint asset gatherers hoping for a return to bubble valuations. DKI continues to applaud intern, Dylan … Read more
This post originally appeared on March 10, 2023 Introduction: The financial world has spent the last few days captivated by the slow-motion implosion of Silicon Valley Bancorp (ticker: $SIVB). A couple of years ago, some well-meaning colleagues suggested SIVB as a potential long idea for DKI. The thesis was that while you had to pay … Read more
This post originally appeared on March 7, 2023 This morning Jerome Powell spoke in front of Congress, and added to his usual talking points that the Federal Reserve would keep rates higher for longer. Today, noting the strong economic growth and low unemployment, Powell added that the Fed might accelerate rate increases. People have been … Read more
Macau Gaming is Strong, Fed Struggles to Slow Economy Outside Real Estate, And More Crypto Fallout Lots of varied news this week. Again, we congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan. Every week his contribution to the “5 Things” grows. Fantastic to see a college student become a meaningful contributor. 1) Macau’s GGR Exceeds Expectations: Macau’s gross … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 27, 2023 Panel Introduction: I was fortunate enough to be one of the speakers at last week’s Strategic Investment Symposium at the College of Charleston. Mark Pyles is running a fantastic program there and the students I met are being well-prepared. My segment was called “Products vs Ingredients” and … Read more
Strong Economic Data Disappoints the “Pivot People” This week is the “Fed Edition” of the 5 Things. All the economic data that came out this week made a Fed pivot to lower interest rates less likely and further in the future. We also congratulate DKI Intern, Dylan Kogan, who did the heavy lifting on this … Read more
This post originally appeared on February 24, 2023 Introduction: This is Part II of a multi-part piece. Part I is available here. There is a lot of talk on FinTwit (financial Twitter) that the Federal Reserve has access to more data than we do. The implication is that because they have all of this information, … Read more
