This week, we got a lower-than-expected CPI. Hooray, the Fed will cut! Then, we got a higher-than-expected PPI. Oh no, the Fed can’t cut! There’s some evidence that tariffs are raising prices for now, but not nearly as bad as the fiat economist threatened. The US puts a 15% tariff on $NVDA and $AMD chip … Read more
The Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve concluded its July meeting and to the surprise of no one, left interest rates unchanged. I think it was the right move. The economy seems to be doing well-enough and inflation remains above the 2% target (which I continue to insist is 2% too high). DKI has been outspoken … Read more
Google signs an agreement to buy fusion energy. It’s even more efficient than the fission reactors which are our best current and future source of power. The technology isn’t ready yet, but investment in the sector is increasing as we get closer to harnessing this new energy source. It still doesn’t change our thesis on … Read more
Maybe we should have called this The Energy Issue. President Trump is trying to cut through decades of red tape by building nuclear reactors on military bases. If you want to electrify everything and have AI datacenters without more carbon-based energy, nuclear is the only option. Do you own enough uranium? 90% of US companies … Read more
We lead off with the news that 1Q GDP came in both negative and below expectations. That, combined with a higher-than-expected inflation number, had investors worried about stagflation again. DKI thinks the data is less significant that some others do. President Trump’s tariffs provide the US with a big win and a potential loss (depending … Read more
Lots of Nvidia $NVDA news this week as the world’s best AI chipmaker takes a $5.5B charge due to export restrictions to China. The company has also begun production of their best chips on US soil and intends to get to half a trillion dollars of domestically-produced product in the next few years. Fed Chairman, … Read more
The big news of the week was President Trump delaying tariff implementation for 90 days, a possibility I outlined for DKI subscribers the previous Sunday. Tariffs remain in place for China which responded with public insults and by increasing their own tariffs. They threatened to watch fewer Hollywood films, something I expect is of zero … Read more
Last month, I got a number of requests to address the emotional difficulty of owning stocks through periods of extreme stress. I thought it was an important enough topic that I wrote a long piece to address the issue called Everybody Hold On. If you are a DKI premium subscriber, I’m asking you to re-read … Read more
The big news of the week was President Trump announcing tariffs in excess of what the market expected. Equity indexes immediately fell and continued that trend for the following two days. While most of the commentary was negative, I’m not convinced the approved consensus is correct. The short version is in this edition of the … Read more
