$META
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The It Doesn’t Matter What Warsh Said Issue
I’m still in Antigua, Guatemala where the weather is beautiful and I was woken up at 1am by the second earthquake in two weeks here. If one of you has upset a volcano, please apologize. The Federal Reserve kept the fed funds rate unchanged. Many expressed concern regarding the three dissenters who wanted a 25bp … Read more
DeepSeek Founder Says the Quiet Part Out Loud
This week, The Epoch Times reported that DeepSeek paused a fundraising round due to comments made by its Founder, Liang Wenfeng, at a conference. These comments focused on the superiority of “noncompliant cards” and DeepSeek’s ability to obtain them. While Nvidia wasn’t named, it’s clear he was commenting on his ability to access Nvidia GPUs … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The It’s All About Semiconductors Issue
Intel crushes estimates and raises guidance. Results in the 18A plant are ahead of expectations. They increase the cap-x budget to meet profitable demand. Yet the stock fall. We explain. In recent weeks, we’ve taken on the issue of personal ownership of purchased goods. President Trump is addressing the right to repair issue in favor … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Dovish CPI Issue
Quick announcement: I’m off and working from new locations for another year. I’ll be in Antigua, Guatemala for the next few weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to … Read more
Intel, Semiconductors, and OpenAI – What if I’m Wrong?
I started buying Intel in the mid-$30s in November. I bought more in the $40s and the $50s over the next few months. I sold a little bit in the $60s, a little more in the mid-$80s, and last week, I sold more in the mid-$120s (just under $127). The reason for the sales is … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Spirit Management Killed Spirit Airlines Issue
Spirit Airlines filed for Chapter 7 leading X to try to assign political blame. Elizabeth Warren was wrong to brag about blocking the Jet Blue deal and crowing that it was a win for the Biden Administration, but was there something else going on as well? We provide a completely different view free from partisan … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Many Ayatollahs Issue
The US and Israel are knocking out Ayatollahs as fast as Iran can appoint them. Did they kill the entire 88-member council that appoints the next one? We don’t know which explains why DKI didn’t make changes to the portfolio this week despite high market volatility. Our long-term thesis explaining why we own Bitcoin, gold, … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Another AI Cap-X Issue
It was a big week for the tech industry. Nvidia and Meta signed a deal for GPUs and CPUs that caused (valid) concerns about Intel and AMD. Google is making a bid for a share of the AI chip business with its TPUs. And if the future trend for compute goes from training to inference, … Read more