One month after the market worried about an increase in the CPI, it celebrated a slightly lower reading. That seems great until you look at the chart and see that there’s been no real progress on inflation in months. In order to get inflation down, the government could cut wasteful spending. DKI likes that option … Read more
I think the primary reason the market was up big on Friday was Senate Democrats caved and agreed to the Republican spending bill. This avoided a pending government shutdown. Even though Democrats wanted more spending, the stated reason for agreeing to the bill was that if Democrats didn’t, they feared that during the ensuing government … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.8% for the last year and 0.2% for the month (annualizes to 2.4%). That’s below last month’s 3.0% and above the prior month’s 2.9%. Both the annual number and the monthly were 0.1% below expectations. The monthly was … Read more
Nvidia $NVDA has a great quarter, but the stock was priced for perfection. Still, Jensen Huang had some interesting comments on DeepSeek. There are rumors that Microsoft $MSFT is cancelling data center leases…but the big tech firms all just confirmed higher AI spending for 2025. The January PCE falls, but it won’t be enough to … Read more
Many Americans are horrified at how our government is spending money. Candidate Trump ran for President promising to go through the budget line by line. Most Americans expected to find waste, but the amount of theft and fraud is staggering. We also found out that the “independent” press is being funded by massive “foreign aid” … Read more
Overview: Today, we got the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 3.0% for the last year and 0.5% for the month (annualizes to 6.2%). That’s above last month’s 2.9% and above the prior month’s 2.7%. The annual number was 0.1% above expectations. The monthly was a large 0.2% above … Read more
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve “paused” keeping the fed funds rate unchanged. President Trump has been critical of Chairman Powell in public. Chairman Powell has refused to answer questions about President Trump, but is intentionally initiating conflict. I think both men have good and bad points on this topic so let’s dive in to all four … Read more
The Federal Reserve will conclude its first meeting of 2025 later today, and Chairman Powell will hold his usual afternoon press conference. Some market observers are describing this as the least suspenseful meeting of the past three years, and I agree with them. The current consensus (almost 100%) opinion is that the Fed will leave … Read more
