Government Shutdown – Does Anyone in Washington DC Know What They’re Doing?
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Market Commentary
Federal Reserve Cuts by 25bp
The Federal Reserve just completed its final meeting of the year and as expected, cut the fed funds rate by 25bp (.25%) to 4.25% – 4.50%. This completes the last cut of the year with a total of 100bp (1%) of cuts for 2024. The release commented on elevated inflation, expanding economic activity, and an … Read more
Weekly Points – December 13th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Fed Does Not Have Inflation Under Control Issue
Both the CPI and the PPI rose from the prior month (again) as DKI predicted. Yet, the Fed is about to cut rates for the third time this year. Just a reminder that we can make money even from bad policy, so make sure your portfolio is prepared for more inflation. The European Central Bank … Read more
November CPI Rises to 2.7%
Overview: Today, we got the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.7% for the last year and 0.3% for the month (annualizes to 3.7%). That’s above last month’s 2.6% and above the prior month’s 2.4%. It was in-line with expectations. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was … Read more
Weekly Points – December 5th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Bitcoin to $100k Issue
The long-awaited moment came late last week when Bitcoin crossed $100k. Being a volatile asset, it’s already crossed that level multiple times in the few days since giving anyone who missed the first crossing ample opportunity to celebrate. Despite being wrong by 100x (10,000%!!!), Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff comes up with a novel excuse for why … Read more
Weekly Points – November 29th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Consumers Are Revolting Issue
This week presents more evidence that a weak private market economy and inflation are taking an increased toll on the American consumer. Luxury sales are falling with consumers seeking out used and discounted items. While companies like $MSFT, $GOOG, and $AMZN buy more $NVDA chips to power AI datacenters, consumers balk at buying AI-powered electronics … Read more
Weekly Points – November 22nd, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Nvidia Calms the Market Issue
Each time Nvidia $NVDA reports earnings, it’s the most important earnings announcement ever. Results were fantastic, but already incorporated into market expectations leading to little stock reaction. Walmart $WMT and Target $TGT indicate the consumer is shifting to lower-priced retail. It’s yet another indication that consumers prefer a drive for lower prices over a focus … Read more
Weekly Points – November 15th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Everything Points to Inflation Issue
A while back, we tried to transition to more stock-related “Things” for this piece. Then, we get a week like this one where all the news is macro and inflation. We’re nothing if not flexible so that’s what we have this week. Inflation indexes come in above expectations and above last month. DKI warned the … Read more
Subscriber Question – Lots of Detail on the Market Hedge
Overview: Last night, Robb Fahrion of Flying V (DKI’s marketing partner) added a new “Ask Gary” feature. Immediately, the DKI community submitted some great questions. Some of those I’m going to address in short videos. However, one question is both very insightful and complicated, and I thought a detailed written response was the best way … Read more
October CPI is 2.6%
Overview: Today, we got the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed an overall increase of 2.6% for the last year and 0.2% for the month. That’s above last month’s 2.4% and in-line with expectations. The Core CPI which excludes food and energy was up 3.3% vs last year and up 0.3% from last … Read more
