The Corporate Earnings and Clickbait Issue In honor of the entire mainstream media squawking about interest rates at 22-year highs (while being in-line with long-term trends), we’ll be introducing all of this week’s “Things” with clickbait headlines. This week, DKI readers and Twitter (or “X”) followers will get to read about: Fed Raises to Highest … Read more
This is an excerpt from the DKI July letter: Last month, I had the opportunity to spend a day with most of DKI’s former and current interns here in Westport, CT. Over lunch, each took a turn talking about how they got their current jobs. Every single one of them has found great first jobs … Read more
The Banking Issue The banks announced earnings this week. We’ll examine the performance of the Too Big to Fail (TBTF) banks vs the investment banks vs the regionals. Does the government have their thumb on the scale pushing deposits and profitability to one sector? Yes, and we’ll discuss why it matters. Plus, bonus points on … Read more
This is an excerpt from the DKI July letter: The VIX is an index that measures market expectations for volatility in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days. The index tends to have a skew in it because investors are much more concerned about downwards volatility than upwards volatility. As a result, we’ll typically … Read more
This is an excerpt from the DKI July letter: Over a year ago, the “pivot people” started calling for the Fed to pivot to lower rates. At the time and for the past year, DKI has said that we were nowhere near a pivot and that we expect the Fed to continue raising. Shortly … Read more
How to Use the Current Recommendations Page One of my favorite parts of running Deep Knowledge Investing is the interactions I have with our subscribers. I tend to get thoughtful questions that serve as a guide for how I can better communicate investment ideas to the community here. A new subscriber had some questions … Read more
This is an excerpt from the DKI July letter: Last month, we wrote this: DKI has been highlighting inconsistent economic data since last November. However, recent news has put that trend on steroids. The ISM Manufacturing Index and the Purchasing Managers’ Index are both showing contraction/recessionary indicators. Demand for goods is weak. Lumber pricing … Read more
The Disinflation Issue Lots of disinflation news this week. Disinflation means a reduction in the rate of inflation. Prices are still going up, but at a slower rate. The data doesn’t paint a perfect picture, and we’ll elaborate in the “Things” below. We also have some new information on the year’s best antitrust case, and … Read more
