Market Commentary
Weekly Points–March 29th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Shockwave Issue
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is the preferred inflation metric for the Federal Reserve. This month’s report came out during Good Friday when the markets are closed. Within hours, the hawks who favor higher rates and the doves who favor lower rates all claimed the report vindicated their view. We’ll elaborate. Shockwave Medical $SWAV … Read more
DKI Email Hacked – Problem Now Fixed
Hi All, I’m sorry to report that DKI’s investor relations email account was hacked this morning. This led to many of you receiving a spam message with some nonsense about Elon Musk’s WiFi. The message was not sent by DKI. For the people who alerted me to the problem, thank you very much. I appreciate … Read more
Weekly Points–March 22nd, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Economic Humor Issue
This was a big week for people who follow macroeconomic news. The Federal Reserve kept rates and the dot plot unchanged, but the press release was carefully worded to be opaque. We’ll explain why. After more than a decade of near and even below-zero interest rates at the Bank of Japan, they finally responded to … Read more
Notes from the Powell Press Conference
Very little that’s new and of interest from Powell’s press conference. The highlights: – Talked about starting to taper quantitative tightening (QT). Said the plan is to get to the same level, but more slowly. – Lots of talk about the strong employment situation. Regular DKI readers know most new jobs are in government. The … Read more
Weekly Points – March 15th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Stagflation and Doom Issue
This wasn’t a good week for the “pivot” people and asset gatherers who have been begging the Federal Reserve for lower rates. We got a higher-than-expected CPI and PPI. Making things worse, the short-term monthly numbers have started to accelerate meaning the disinflation story might be dead for now. Retail sales and manufacturing numbers were … Read more
Weekly Points – March 8th, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Powell Just Hit the Panic Button Issue
This week, Jerome Powell spoke to Congress and was more dovish than he’s been in years. He’s gone from channeling former Fed Chairman, Volker, who crushed inflation with interest rates approaching 20% to sounding like Volker’s predecessor, Arthur Burns, who reduced interest rates before getting inflation under control. We saw weaker than expected job reports, … Read more